Zany-Botany

0x4c15b91c335a21ff0cb15b4df926fb625dec51af

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Zany-Botany: −$4.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.5K
return −17.5%
Settled bets
7
$26K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$3.4K
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$7.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Falcons @ 58¢
Ravens vs. Falcons
Ravens vs. Falcons $5.9K
Oct 12 BUY Falcons @ 49¢
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)
Spread: Falcons (-3.5) $2.0K
Sep 18 BUY Vitality @ 34¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 40¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $2.0K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 47¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Team WE @ 45¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 51¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner $3.0K
Sep 15 BUY Chiefs @ 54¢
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Broncos vs. Chiefs $9.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed