Unselfish-Cardboard
Skill vs luck
Unselfish-Cardboard on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$3.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Unselfish-Cardboard: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4aadfd556c89ba2ddd0557e2138aa68edc8d900c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Unselfish-Cardboard: +$3.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$3.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26? |
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26? | $1.0K |
| Oct 26 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-26? |
Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-26? | $1.5K |
| Oct 25 | SELL No @ 94¢ | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes
@ 76¢
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-24? | $1.8K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 43¢
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-10-24? | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?