Unfortunate-Mineral
0x48f760d6075d22227ff28a9228d19e10f7c93aeb
Unfortunate-Mineral: +$150 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$150
return +1.4%
Settled bets
9
$11K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$150
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 43¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Team Synapse
@ 70¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY CyberHero
@ 58¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: MOUZ vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 75¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 57¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 55¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 64¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 72¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.