Fast-Parenting
Skill vs luck
Fast-Parenting on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$12K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fast-Parenting: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x478e6032636bb01439dc8390381a49a7955e0c83. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fast-Parenting: −$12K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$12K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY 76ers @ 50¢ | Spread: 76ers (-12.5) ↗ | $7.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 |
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 | $5.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL No @ 99.8¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | $1.6K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?