Crooked-Girl
Skill vs luck
Crooked-Girl on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$4.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Crooked-Girl: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x46b7880eab13cedca0d13f2f500a1c7f47879177. Data CC BY 4.0.
Crooked-Girl: −$4.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$4.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 42¢ | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $7.8K |
| Oct 17 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 70¢ | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Heroic @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs ↗ | $19K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Heroic @ 74¢ | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Heroic @ 72¢ | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Heroic @ 72¢ | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs ↗ | $5.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?