Fresh-Action-Comparison
0x406ef52ff9270f2a9125c2132a757f96d8205378
Fresh-Action-Comparison: −$4.3K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 2%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.3K
return −99.9%
Settled bets
8
$4.3K staked
Won
12.5%
95% range 2%–47%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BUY FaZe
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $1.9K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Jakub Mensik
@ 55¢
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien |
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien | $1.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY fnatic
@ 90¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Noir Verse
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D |
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D | $9.1K |
| Aug 29 | SELL Noir Verse
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D |
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D | $1.6K |
| Aug 23 | SELL WBT
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | $14K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Noir Verse
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | $4.5K |
| Aug 20 | SELL Noir Verse
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.