Pleasing-Biology
Skill vs luck
Pleasing-Biology on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$6.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Pleasing-Biology: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3f5ea0a8053e81ce2f59814118869322c35fe7db. Data CC BY 4.0.
Pleasing-Biology: +$6.8K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$6.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Mavericks
@ 39¢
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) |
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Cavaliers
@ 40¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) |
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Hornets @ 44¢ | Spread: Heat (-2.5) ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Hornets @ 46¢ | Spread: Heat (-2.5) ↗ | $5.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?