Scrawny-Washcloth
Skill vs luck
Scrawny-Washcloth on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$7.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Scrawny-Washcloth: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3e2f4c1fa1d09f259614cb77466a3eb7336baaf8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Scrawny-Washcloth: −$7.1K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$7.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Under @ 53¢ | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5 ↗ | $5.3K |
| Oct 26 | BUY
@ 42¢
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 AND Cowboys vs. Eagles |
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 AND Cowboys vs. Eagles | $7.3K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Seahawks @ 61¢ | Chiefs vs. Seahawks ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Seahawks @ 55¢ | Chiefs vs. Seahawks ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Daniil Glinka
@ 49¢
Almaty Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Daniil Glinka |
Almaty Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Daniil Glinka | $2.5K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Iga Swiatek @ 34¢ | Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska ↗ | $1.7K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?