Tiny-Flax
Skill vs luck
Tiny-Flax on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$2.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tiny-Flax: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3c3ac5fb217e2aee15e00198f4c47f6bb29c8b5f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tiny-Flax: +$2.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$2.7K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Jiri Lehecka
@ 92¢
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka |
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Jiri Lehecka | $5.9K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Zizou Bergs
@ 86¢
European Open: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs |
European Open: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs | $1.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Zizou Bergs
@ 74¢
European Open: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs |
European Open: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs | $5.7K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?