0x3c36…3923
Skill vs luck
0x3c36…3923 on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$924. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x3c36…3923: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3c36bc9af16b2391335099ec2ff50aeb37103923. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x3c36…3923: +$924 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$924
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Pacers @ 91¢ | Pacers vs. Nets ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Steelers @ 60¢ | Steelers vs. Saints ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Elena Rybakina
@ 99.9¢
Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez |
Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Elena Rybakina
@ 99.9¢
Set 1 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez |
Set 1 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?