Cultured-Location
Skill vs luck
Cultured-Location on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 35%–88%) · profit +$6.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cultured-Location: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3b1818ebc35458655d59804e332968bdcc225055. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cultured-Location: +$6.2K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 21
- +$140
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- +$651
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- +$5.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Wizards @ 37¢ | Bucks vs. Wizards ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Pacers @ 66¢ | Pacers vs. Pelicans ↗ | $3.5K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Grizzlies @ 50¢ | Jazz vs. Grizzlies ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Exact Margin: Titans by 25+ |
Exact Margin: Titans by 25+ | $3.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 44¢ | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves ↗ | $1.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 41¢ | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves ↗ | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 55¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | $2.5K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 |
England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 | $3.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?