Unwritten-Shock
0x35c8700bdf3529179d4692b2b7ddb92fe45990cb
Unwritten-Shock: −$1.1K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.1K
return −6.9%
Settled bets
10
$16K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$149
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$5.1K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$3.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 22¢
Will Malta win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Malta win on 2026-10-01? | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 14¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 35¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12? |
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12? | $1.3K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 48¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? |
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | $2.8K |
| Sep 6 | BUY No
@ 37¢
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-06? |
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-06? | $1.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 61¢
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-04? |
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-09-04? | $1.6K |
| Sep 1 | BUY No
@ 53¢
Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-09-01? |
Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-09-01? | $2.4K |
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-29? |
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-29? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.