0x354C…0aa7

0x354C28B85eC92aC92d3326D2F15cdF77F2a80aa7

Skill vs luck

0x354C…0aa7 on Limitless: 20 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 22%–61%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −7.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0x354C…0aa7: Limitless record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x354c28b85ec92ac92d3326d2f15cdf77f2a80aa7. Data CC BY 4.0.

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x354C…0aa7: −$1.8K on 20 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 40% (95% range 22%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.8K
return −48.0%
Settled bets
20
$3.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 22%–61%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 23
−$1.7K
Sep 23 – Oct 10
−$47
Oct 10 – Oct 28
−$30
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.2% (134 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $150
bought Yes @ 74¢ → now 72¢ (−$4)
SELL $153
sold Yes @ 85¢ → won

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 27 BUY Yes @ 74¢
Inter
Inter $150
Oct 27 SELL Yes @ 85¢
AS Roma
AS Roma $153
Oct 26 BUY Yes @ 75¢
AS Roma
AS Roma $135
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 73¢
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain $102
Oct 25 SELL Yes @ 24¢
Barcelona
Barcelona $103
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 62¢
Barcelona
Barcelona $275
Oct 25 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Bayern München
Bayern München $277
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Bayern München
Bayern München $195

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed