Happy-Opposite
Skill vs luck
Happy-Opposite on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Happy-Opposite: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x338c044253af7a66e18f6f8dbad6cbb256ee1b33. Data CC BY 4.0.
Happy-Opposite: −$1.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY 9z @ 65¢ | Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?