Trifling-Raffle
0x3342c29d621cfa6dd0022d0378c51385c99bf908
Trifling-Raffle: +$25K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$25K
return +51.4%
Settled bets
8
$48K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$25K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | $9.9K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Legacy
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $6.6K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 54¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 54¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $8.1K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Fire Flux Esports
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | $6.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Fire Flux Esports
@ 34¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $4.8K |
| Aug 22 | BUY FURIA
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $6.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.