Ancient-Tolerant

0x32be1c720021648644b25b7347653df28be96da7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ancient-Tolerant: −$8.0K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 6%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$8.0K
return −46.3%
Settled bets
10
$17K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 6%–51%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$6.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 11 BUY Yes @ 70¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10? $2.0K
Sep 6 BUY No @ 51¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06?
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? $3.8K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 52¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? $7.0K
Aug 29 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29?
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? $10K
Aug 28 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28? $1.1K
Aug 27 BUY Chelsea FC @ 52¢
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) $1.0K
Aug 22 BUY Hull City AFC @ 52¢
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) $1.0K
Aug 21 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed