Flamboyant-Female

0x32ae10936946808df2471b55a142dd35c3f17ece

Skill vs luck

Flamboyant-Female on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$18K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Flamboyant-Female: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x32ae10936946808df2471b55a142dd35c3f17ece. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flamboyant-Female: +$18K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$18K
return +117.4%
Settled bets
2
$15K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 10 – Oct 27
+$18K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.4% (2,295 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 24 BUY Yes @ 18¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? $2.7K
Oct 24 BUY Yes @ 46¢ Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? ↗ $15K
Oct 20 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? ↗ $2.6K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed