0x31fd…56b2
Skill vs luck
0x31fd…56b2 on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$7.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x31fd…56b2: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x31fdff53495b21b35344583af0c6ddbbef9b56b2. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x31fd…56b2: −$7.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$7.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY T1 @ 82¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 24 | BUY T1 @ 67¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Gen.G @ 98¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Gen.G @ 88¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY T1 @ 92¢ | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $3.7K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?