Hard-To-Find-Impostor-River
Skill vs luck
Hard-To-Find-Impostor-River on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$506. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hard-To-Find-Impostor-River: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2dd094545b3c185b0e5970eb6f37cb682ad5389d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hard-To-Find-Impostor-River: +$506 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$506
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 72¢ | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?