Elementary-Whirlwind-Representation
0x2cb256064f192c16bab846ac83aa3f9120f5ee14
Elementary-Whirlwind-Representation: −$8.4K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 39%–84%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$8.4K
return −31.6%
Settled bets
14
$26K staked
Won
64.3%
95% range 39%–84%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$4.2K
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$271
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- −$4.9K
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- +$407
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 99¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 12 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 90¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY South Korea
@ 94¢
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 28 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 98¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Barbora Palicova
@ 94¢
Tolentino: Barbora Palicova vs Alicia Herrero Linana |
Tolentino: Barbora Palicova vs Alicia Herrero Linana | $1.5K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Thiago Monteiro
@ 92¢
Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro |
Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro | $1.2K |
| Sep 22 | BUY So-Hyun Park
@ 90¢
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery |
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 96¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $4.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.