These-Toga-Gas

0x2a1640ad6242647766682ecc6c422c9735969d1d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

These-Toga-Gas: −$1.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.4K
return −44.3%
Settled bets
2
$3.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Chicago White Sox @ 81¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox $1.6K
Oct 7 BUY San Diego Padres @ 87¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres $1.5K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed