Salty-Limitation-Salary
Skill vs luck
Salty-Limitation-Salary on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$4.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Salty-Limitation-Salary: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x295cde59e4ad7e6c0918c2ee182a38af0b186015. Data CC BY 4.0.
Salty-Limitation-Salary: −$4.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$4.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY JiJieHao @ 45¢ | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL JiJieHao @ 42¢ | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs ↗ | $8.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY JiJieHao @ 45¢ | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs ↗ | $9.6K |
| Oct 23 | BUY 1win
@ 64¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY 1win
@ 65¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?