Bony-Ridge
Skill vs luck
Bony-Ridge on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$262. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Bony-Ridge: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x25e21e9c4e469d26aaa5701948ff8923d060db79. Data CC BY 4.0.
Bony-Ridge: +$262 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$262
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL Suns @ 74¢ | Warriors vs. Suns ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Cavaliers @ 95¢ | Nets vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Suns @ 78¢ | Warriors vs. Suns ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Cavaliers @ 82¢ | Nets vs. Cavaliers ↗ | $2.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?