Awesome-Compulsion
Skill vs luck
Awesome-Compulsion on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Awesome-Compulsion: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x239a3d30955f53467db8e51bf529011db7e89461. Data CC BY 4.0.
Awesome-Compulsion: −$1.8K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Dplus KIA @ 89¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Anyones Legend @ 64¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?