Both-Chowder
Skill vs luck
Both-Chowder on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 30%–90%) · profit +$12K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Both-Chowder: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x21280fd5af62b925dc06f77015fa244c9fefda98. Data CC BY 4.0.
Both-Chowder: +$12K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$5.2K
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$6.5K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$732
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Hornets
@ 65¢
Spread: Hornets (-2.5) |
Spread: Hornets (-2.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY No @ 75¢ | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $4.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20? |
Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20? | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Titans @ 35¢ | Eagles vs. Titans ↗ | $1.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Packers @ 57¢ | Packers vs. Jets ↗ | $11K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No @ 56¢ | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30? ↗ | $5.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?