Plastic-Wellbeing
Skill vs luck
Plastic-Wellbeing on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$5.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Plastic-Wellbeing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x20ed48b5ca26933083a98d35b69c64b171e27f85. Data CC BY 4.0.
Plastic-Wellbeing: +$5.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$5.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Vikings @ 62¢ | Colts vs. Vikings ↗ | $7.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Commanders
@ 59¢
Spread: Commanders (-2.5) |
Spread: Commanders (-2.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Vikings @ 56¢ | Vikings vs. Saints ↗ | $3.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?