Impressionable-Depth
Skill vs luck
Impressionable-Depth on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–43%) · profit −$212. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Impressionable-Depth: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1b0fcd4c06147cb090681b4bd59cab5b9319b7ae. Data CC BY 4.0.
Impressionable-Depth: −$212 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$1
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$211
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL Penguins @ 99.9¢ | Predators vs. Penguins ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: O/U 59.5 |
Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: O/U 59.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes
@ 95¢
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | $3.3K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Skyliners Frankfurt
@ 99.9¢
London Lions vs. Skyliners Frankfurt |
London Lions vs. Skyliners Frankfurt | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Toledo
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Toledo (-13.5) |
Spread: Toledo (-13.5) | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?