Excited-Coordination-Bread
Skill vs luck
Excited-Coordination-Bread on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$870. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Excited-Coordination-Bread: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1860fe019edf1182f8df16eaab2f23cea1a1147e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Excited-Coordination-Bread: +$870 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$3
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$501
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$372
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Team Yandex @ 82¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Natus Vincere @ 68¢ | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?