Upbeat-Shrimp

0x12a2964c9318454847e965a274accdec9dff0c47

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Upbeat-Shrimp: −$1.7K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.7K
return −12.1%
Settled bets
7
$14K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 47¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner $1.1K
Oct 11 BUY PARIVISION @ 68¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $3.5K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 67¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $2.2K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 73¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $2.5K
Oct 8 BUY Aurora @ 59¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $2.5K
Oct 3 BUY Team Yandex @ 56¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 2 BUY BetBoom Team @ 64¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed