Vague-Milk-Hunter
Skill vs luck
Vague-Milk-Hunter on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 56% (95% range 27%–81%) · profit −$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Vague-Milk-Hunter: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0fbfa8159d055e0bd87d01d64efcf952c21e3bc8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Vague-Milk-Hunter: −$2.0K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$2.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Trail Blazers @ 47¢ | Trail Blazers vs. Lakers ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Nets @ 48¢ | Spread: Celtics (-12.5) ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 |
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Over @ 51¢ | Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5 |
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5 |
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Kings
@ 56¢
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) |
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | $4.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Kings @ 38¢ | Grizzlies vs. Kings ↗ | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?