Perfect-Spaghetti
Skill vs luck
Perfect-Spaghetti on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 22%–79%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Perfect-Spaghetti: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0ec9d0ca75335cb9e683907bf628a0b5ee831e0c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Perfect-Spaghetti: +$1.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$456
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$651
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1.7K
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY Bruins @ 30¢ | Bruins vs. Kings ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Seahawks @ 55¢ | Seahawks vs. Broncos ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 |
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | $1.7K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy @ 67¢ | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs ↗ | $1.4K |
| Sep 10 | BUY PARIVISION @ 56¢ | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 10 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 56¢ | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A ↗ | $1.3K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 47¢
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5) | $2.0K |
| Aug 20 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 46¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?