Informal-Canal-Charge

0x0ca6c3fd9fc40f3adb4bf7e371017dad3e165aa7

Skill vs luck

Informal-Canal-Charge on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$4.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Informal-Canal-Charge: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0ca6c3fd9fc40f3adb4bf7e371017dad3e165aa7. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Informal-Canal-Charge: +$4.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.6K
return +97.8%
Settled bets
4
$4.7K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 4 – Oct 19
+$4.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.3% (1,931 positions).

Latest captured bets

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed