Paltry-Maiden
Skill vs luck
Paltry-Maiden on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$3.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Paltry-Maiden: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x09ddc7835cc1b3395f6f427085cbe92111d77e13. Data CC BY 4.0.
Paltry-Maiden: −$3.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$3.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $14K |
| Oct 24 | BUY LOS @ 23¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL G2 Esports @ 78¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $7.5K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $6.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?