Rapid-Wildebeest
Skill vs luck
Rapid-Wildebeest on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$3.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rapid-Wildebeest: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0945a88ccf387e296785f071f725e4dc01dfb9bd. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rapid-Wildebeest: −$3.9K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- −$2.4K
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$1.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY Team Vitality @ 42¢ | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 17 | SELL NIP
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NIP vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: NIP vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Alliance
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Alliance
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?