Worthy-Transaction
Skill vs luck
Worthy-Transaction on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Worthy-Transaction: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0932b77d694a7a02eff8cd7e498288f2088d3a7a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Worthy-Transaction: +$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B | $3.9K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
@ 82¢
UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Vitality @ 84¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?