Meek-Civilisation
Skill vs luck
Meek-Civilisation on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 14% (95% range 3%–51%) · profit −$2.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Meek-Civilisation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x092b02c318fdad19d178ad136f0d2eadbaf8614e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Meek-Civilisation: −$2.1K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$2.1K
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$2
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | SELL Karmine Corp @ 99.9¢ | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Team Vitality @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Cloud9
@ 66¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Aug 30 | BUY LYON
@ 57¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 53¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 30 | SELL GIANTX @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Aug 20 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.6K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?