Weary-Rudiment
0x04d2b5cfd82b081e9c7aa9baabc9387e6fc84850
Weary-Rudiment: +$4.0K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 26%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.0K
return +17.3%
Settled bets
17
$23K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 26%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$5.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 82¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 76¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.5K |
| Sep 19 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 68¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $7.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 82¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 57¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.