Soulful-Pound-Place

0x0432c2fb0e3d45002d71b3ee9229118184b99659

Skill vs luck

Soulful-Pound-Place on Polymarket: 11 settled bets · won 91% (95% range 62%–98%) · profit +$5.0K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Soulful-Pound-Place: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0432c2fb0e3d45002d71b3ee9229118184b99659. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Soulful-Pound-Place: +$5.0K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 91% (95% range 62%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$5.0K
return +22.5%
Settled bets
11
$22K staked
Won
90.9%
95% range 62%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 4 – Oct 20
+$5.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −6.5% (1,973 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 19 BUY Maple Leafs @ 56¢
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs
Sharks vs. Maple Leafs $1.1K
Oct 19 BUY No @ 84¢ Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19? ↗ $4.7K
Oct 19 BUY Pierre-Hugues Herbert @ 62¢
Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva
Lyon Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva $1.9K
Oct 19 BUY Katie Boulter @ 52¢ Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume ↗ $1.0K
Oct 19 BUY Sorana Cirstea @ 80¢
Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi
Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi $2.0K
Oct 18 BUY Hurricanes @ 67¢
Hurricanes vs. Flames
Hurricanes vs. Flames $1.9K
Oct 18 BUY Wild @ 79¢
Blue Jackets vs. Wild
Blue Jackets vs. Wild $3.5K
Oct 18 BUY No @ 77¢
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed