Disloyal-Herbs-Justification
Skill vs luck
Disloyal-Herbs-Justification on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–35%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Disloyal-Herbs-Justification: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x042e9bd0e9e0c50a9a7a516ea80d5542e11e462e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Disloyal-Herbs-Justification: −$1.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5 |
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5 | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL FURIA
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Anyones Legend @ 58¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Virtus.pro
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Oct 23 | SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | Cavaliers vs. 76ers ↗ | $3.4K |
| Oct 21 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 |
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 | $1.3K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?