Authorized-Congressman
Skill vs luck
Authorized-Congressman on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$9.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Authorized-Congressman: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x01c2b3abf6dbb0ca83e0506d5cb0a33f38a2e08f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Authorized-Congressman: −$9.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$9.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 92¢ | Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 22 | BUY J.J. Wolf
@ 89¢
Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong |
Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong | $11K |
| Oct 22 | BUY TheMongolz
@ 87¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz (BO5) - 1win Private Club Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz (BO5) - 1win Private Club Playoffs | $6.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?