0x018e…5c3d
Skill vs luck
0x018e…5c3d on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit +$498. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x018e…5c3d: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x018eec8d14a6a38c445351a4d5a21e70f8e55c3d. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x018e…5c3d: +$498 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$3
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$500
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Elena Rybakina
@ 99.9¢
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider |
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | $1.6K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 68¢ | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Ekaterina Alexandrova
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich |
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Lloyd Harris
@ 99.9¢
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic |
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | $1.3K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?