Scary-Strait-Exposition
0xf7314bda11445c7918c4415b9c96643addb1e5c2
Scary-Strait-Exposition: −$3.1K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 21%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.1K
return −8.2%
Settled bets
21
$38K staked
Won
38.1%
95% range 21%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Melbourne United
@ 71¢
Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United |
Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Science City Jena
@ 50¢
Science City Jena vs. Chemnitz 99 |
Science City Jena vs. Chemnitz 99 | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | SELL CB Breogan Lugo
@ 99.9¢
Manresa vs. CB Breogan Lugo |
Manresa vs. CB Breogan Lugo | $3.5K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Rostock Seawolves
@ 99.9¢
Hamburg Towers vs. Rostock Seawolves |
Hamburg Towers vs. Rostock Seawolves | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY U-BT Cluj-Napoca
@ 67¢
BC Vienna vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca |
BC Vienna vs. U-BT Cluj-Napoca | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Rostock Seawolves
@ 66¢
Hamburg Towers vs. Rostock Seawolves |
Hamburg Towers vs. Rostock Seawolves | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Dallas Wings
@ 41¢
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries |
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Golden State Valkyries
@ 76¢
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries |
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | $6.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.