Curly-Penicillin

0xc88f2866fbfe158e6abf13992164d5c29a8981f7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Curly-Penicillin: +$20 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$20
return +0.2%
Settled bets
2
$11K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$18
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY India @ 99.8¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies $9.2K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Pakistan win?
Will Pakistan win? $1.6K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed