Handmade-Recipe

0xbc97fda9fe1d4b4f5703df47872d9eaf3287ff6c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Handmade-Recipe: +$64 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$64
return +0.1%
Settled bets
3
$64K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$64
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Boise State @ 99.88¢
South Dakota vs. Boise State
South Dakota vs. Boise State $1.2K
Sep 20 BUY Alabama @ 99.9¢
Florida State vs. Alabama
Florida State vs. Alabama $6.1K
Sep 20 BUY Alabama @ 99.9¢
Florida State vs. Alabama
Florida State vs. Alabama $55K
Sep 19 BUY Clemson @ 99.9¢
North Carolina vs. Clemson
North Carolina vs. Clemson $1.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed