Immaterial-Yellowjacket
0xa7cc00c563726032007221e827bbf7fdb6d7644e
Immaterial-Yellowjacket: −$3.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −39.7%
Settled bets
3
$8.8K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$5.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 13¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.5K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 13¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.8K |
| Sep 14 | SELL No
@ 71¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $3.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 15¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.9K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 46¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.8K |
| Sep 7 | BUY No
@ 13¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $2.6K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $9.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 44¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.