Somber-Bill
0x568d3624a0a794439002481cc5a8adc82b8c87d0
Somber-Bill: −$5.2K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 9%–53%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.2K
return −43.1%
Settled bets
12
$12K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 9%–53%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.9K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL LOS
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner | $5.1K |
| Oct 10 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $4.4K |
| Oct 8 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 29¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 25¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL OG
@ 38¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY 1win
@ 66¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.