Well-Off-Baggie

0x4d709041e5cb24ea9a9dbcf6907cca93465bd173

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-Off-Baggie: +$58 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$58
return +1.2%
Settled bets
2
$5.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$58
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY No @ 99.7¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? $1.5K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $3.0K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? $2.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed