0x197c…e025
0x197c2c31027a6e4ae970b8b23b14fdc7ee95e025
0x197c…e025: −$79K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 9%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$79K
return −50.0%
Settled bets
18
$158K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 9%–45%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$65K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Lions
@ 67¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $14K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Milwaukee Brewers
@ 99.9¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $5.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? | $11K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Over
@ 39¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 |
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 | $7.4K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo? |
Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 0 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo? | $1.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 13¢
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Udinese Calcio? |
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Udinese Calcio? | $2.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 13¢
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 Udinese Calcio? |
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 Udinese Calcio? | $7.6K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 10¢
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Udinese Calcio? |
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Udinese Calcio? | $5.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.