Intent-Beck

0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Intent-Beck: +$999 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$999
return +9.6%
Settled bets
2
$10K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$999
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 94¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? $1.3K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 91¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? $10K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $2.7K
Sep 10 SELL No @ 92¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? $1.8K
Sep 10 SELL No @ 82¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $5.2K
Sep 8 SELL No @ 98¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? $1.5K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 91¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed