Vengeful-Fiery

0xe6c6f1d992367fb31219ae05464fdcfd2b7577b7

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$4.4K
return +5.8%
Settled bets
25
$76K staked
Won
88.0%
95% range 70%–96%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$53 Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$4.3K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$16
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 Bought No at 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? $1.1K
Oct 1 Bought No at 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? $4.0K
Sep 24 Bought No at 99.69¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? $1.8K
Sep 19 Sold No at 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? $1.4K
Sep 18 Bought No at 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? $2.7K
Sep 18 Bought No at 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? $1.2K
Sep 17 Bought No at 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? $4.6K
Sep 17 Sold No at 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed